Regional Integration Clusters and Optimum Customs Unions: A Machine-Learning Approach
De Lombaerde, Philippe, Naeher, Dominik and Saber, Takfarinas, (2021). Regional Integration Clusters and Optimum Customs Unions: A Machine-Learning Approach. Journal of Economic Integration, 36(2), 262-281
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Article
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Sub-type Journal article Author De Lombaerde, Philippe
Naeher, Dominik
Saber, TakfarinasTitle Regional Integration Clusters and Optimum Customs Unions: A Machine-Learning Approach Appearing in Journal of Economic Integration Volume 36 Issue No. 2 Publication Date 2021-06-10 Place of Publication Online Publisher Journal of Economic Integration Start page 262 End page 281 Language eng Abstract This study proposes a new method to evaluate the composition of regional arrangements focused on increasing intraregional trade and economic integration. In contrast to previous studies that take the country composition of these arrangements as given, our method uses a network clustering algorithm adapted from the machine-learning literature to identify, in a data-driven way, those groups of neighboring countries that are most integrated with each other. Using the obtained landscape of regional integration clusters (RICs) as a benchmark, we then apply our method to critically assess the composition of real-world customs unions (CUs). Our results indicate a considerable variation across CUs in terms of their distance to the RICs emerging from the clustering algorithm. This suggests that some CUs are relatively more driven by “natural” economic forces, as opposed to political considerations. Our results also point to several testable hypotheses related to the geopolitical configuration of CUs. Keyword Regional Integration
Customs Union
Machine learningCopyright Holder Journal of Economic Integration Copyright Year 2021 Copyright type All rights reserved DOI https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2021.36.2.262 -
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