Domestic and International Migration Intentions in Response to Environmental Stress: A Global Cross-Country Analysis
Bekaert, Els and Ruyssen, Ilse, (2021). Domestic and International Migration Intentions in Response to Environmental Stress: A Global Cross-Country Analysis. Journal of Demographic Economics, 1-54
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Article
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Sub-type Journal article Author Bekaert, Els
Ruyssen, IlseTitle Domestic and International Migration Intentions in Response to Environmental Stress: A Global Cross-Country Analysis Appearing in Journal of Demographic Economics Publication Date 2021-03-01 Place of Publication Online Publisher Cambridge University Press Start page 1 End page 54 Language eng Abstract In light of increasing environmental stress and its likely implications for migration patterns, we conduct a cross-country individual-level analysis of the impact of self-reported exposure to environmental stress on people's migration intentions and their destination choice. We simultaneously model intentions to migrate domestically and internationally for 90 countries worldwide in 2010. We find that self-reported exposure to environmental stress increases the probability to intend to migrate both domestically and internationally in the coming year. In absolute terms, the largest impact is obtained for domestic migration, but controlling for the fact that this is the most common form of migration anyway, environmental stress particularly raises intraregional migration intentions. Overall, the effects on migration intentions to the different destinations are strongest in low- and middle-income countries in Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean, while in high-income countries, and in Europe particularly, environmental stress appears to spur only domestic migration intentions. Keyword Destination choice
domestic migration
international migration
migration intentions
self-reported environmental stressCopyright Holder Université catholique de Louvain Copyright Year 2021 Copyright type All rights reserved DOI 10.1017/dem.2020.28 -
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