Advancing the evidence base of future warming impacts on human mobility in African drylands
Thalheimer, Lisa, Williams, David, van der Geest, Kees and Friederike, Otto E.L., (2021). Advancing the evidence base of future warming impacts on human mobility in African drylands. Earth’s Future, 9(10), 1-10
Document type:
Article
Collection:
-
Attached Files (Some files may be inaccessible until you login with your UNU Collections credentials) Name Description MIMEType Size Downloads Thalheimer_et_al_2021_CC15_African_drylands_META.pdf Thalheimer_et_al_2021_CC15_African_drylands_META.pdf application/pdf 499.79KB -
Sub-type Journal article Author Thalheimer, Lisa
Williams, David
van der Geest, Kees
Friederike, Otto E.L.Title Advancing the evidence base of future warming impacts on human mobility in African drylands Appearing in Earth’s Future Volume 9 Issue No. 10 Publication Date 2021 Place of Publication Hoboken Publisher Wiley Start page 1 End page 10 Language eng Abstract The Paris Agreement recognises that climate change and extreme weather events alter human mobility patterns. Even under an optimistic scenario, an increase in global temperature of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels is likely to increase the numbers of people vulnerable to climatic stress while limiting the capacity for effective climate change adaptation. Under a less optimistic scenario the disruption is expected to be worse. Yet, the impacts of different warming scenarios, including observed warming, on human mobility remain insufficiently understood and discussed in policymaking. A synthesis of empirical evidence from the IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 °C and subsequently published literature on climate change effects in African drylands highlight implications of warming scenarios on human mobility in this region, where climatic change is a defining feature of local communities and predominantly agricultural economies. Adverse effects of climate change on African dryland communities may not necessarily cause mass migration but are likely to alter human mobility from more voluntary towards more forced displacement or entrapment. A systems approach can be used as a starting point to address the urgent challenges of climate-related human mobility. Keyword Impacts of climate change
Migration
Displacement
Livelihood
Scenarios
IPCC
Complex systemsCopyright Holder American Geophysical Union Copyright Year 2021 Copyright type All rights reserved DOI 10.1029/2020EF001958 -
Citation counts Search Google Scholar Access Statistics: 716 Abstract Views, 134 File Downloads - Detailed Statistics Created: Thu, 30 Sep 2021, 22:23:32 JST by Aarti Basnyat on behalf of UNU EHS