Development of land-use scenarios using vegetation inventories in Japan

Shoyama, Kikuko, Matsui, Shiro, Hashimoto, Shizuka, Kabaya, Kei, Oono, Akiko and Saito, Osamu, (2018). Development of land-use scenarios using vegetation inventories in Japan. Sustainability Science, 1-14

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  • Sub-type Journal article
    Author Shoyama, Kikuko
    Matsui, Shiro
    Hashimoto, Shizuka
    Kabaya, Kei
    Oono, Akiko
    Saito, Osamu
    Title Development of land-use scenarios using vegetation inventories in Japan
    Appearing in Sustainability Science
    Publication Date 2018-08-10
    Place of Publication Online
    Publisher Springer Japan
    Start page 1
    End page 14
    Language eng
    Abstract Changes in land use and land cover (LULC) have major effects on biodiversity and ecosystem services. Land change models can simulate future trends of ecosystem services under different scenarios to inform the actions of decision makers towards building a more sustainable society. LULC data are essential inputs for predicting future land changes. It is now possible to derive high-resolution LULC maps from satellite data using remote sensing techniques. However, the classification of land categories in these maps is too limited to sufficiently assess biodiversity and ecosystem services. This study aims to develop land-use scenarios, using an appropriate LULC map, to enable assessment of biodiversity and ecosystem services at the national scale. First, we developed an LULC dataset using vegetation inventories based on field records of vegetation collected throughout the country in the periods 1978–1987, 1988–1998 and 1999–2014. The vegetation maps consist of over 905 vegetation categories, from which we aggregated the most prevalent categories into 9 LULC categories. Second, we created a business-as-usual scenario and plausible future scenarios on the land use change maps using the Land Change Model tool. In the process of developing the model, we considered key drivers including biophysical and socio-economic factors. The results showed some key land changes as consequences of intensive/extensive land-use interventions. These derived scenario maps can be used to assess the impacts of future land change on biodiversity and ecosystem services.
    Keyword Land-use scenarios
    Land-use change
    Ecosystem Services
    Socioecological systems
    Copyright Holder Springer Japan KK
    Copyright Year 2018
    Copyright type All rights reserved
    DOI 10.1007/s11625-018-0617-7
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    Created: Tue, 14 Aug 2018, 10:14:28 JST by PEGUES, Susan Scott on behalf of UNU IAS