Spatial Implications of Climate Change on Land Allocation and Agricultural Production in ECOWAS

Lokonon, Boris K., Egbendewe, Aklesso Y.G., Naga, Coulibaly and Atewamba, Calvin (2016). Spatial Implications of Climate Change on Land Allocation and Agricultural Production in ECOWAS. UNU-INRA Working Paper. United Nations University Institute for Natural Resources in Africa.

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  • Sub-type Working paper
    Author Lokonon, Boris K.
    Egbendewe, Aklesso Y.G.
    Naga, Coulibaly
    Atewamba, Calvin
    Editor Yong Nje, Dorothé
    Nutakor, Praise
    Title Spatial Implications of Climate Change on Land Allocation and Agricultural Production in ECOWAS
    Series Title UNU-INRA Working Paper
    Volume/Issue No. 17
    Publication Date 2016-12-15
    Place of Publication Accra
    Publisher United Nations University Institute for Natural Resources in Africa
    Pages XI, 94
    Language eng
    Abstract Climate change is one of the most serious threats to food security in the future. Indeed, agriculture in developing countries is predicted to be seriously impacted by climate change, and the magnitude and the direction of the impacts vary across countries. This paper takes advantage of agro-climatic zones to investigate the impacts of climate change on land allocation and crop production in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). A regional mathematical programming model is used to simulate the implications of climate change on crop acreage and crop production following two Representative Concentration Pathways and four prevailing socio-economic conditions. The findings suggest that acreage will be lower, higher, or remain the same depending on the crops and the future conditions (combinations of climate and socio-economic scenarios). In terms of crop production, results showed that paddy rice, maize, sorghum, millet, oilseeds, cocoa, coffee, and sesame production experience a decline under both moderate and harsh climate change in most cases. The magnitude and the direction of the impacts vary across geographical units. The findings of this study advocate for international action in terms of reducing the emission of greenhouse gases (GHG) in developing countries. Moreover, it is urgent to develop adequate adaptation strategies to offset the negative impacts of climate change.
    UNBIS Thesaurus AGRICULTURAL TRADE
    FOOD SECURITY
    CLIMATE CHANGE
    Keyword Climate change
    Agricultural production
    Bioeconomic model
    Land Allocation
    Copyright Holder United Nations University Institute for Natural Resources in Africa
    Copyright Year 2016
    Copyright type Fair use permitted
    ISBN 9789988633158
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    Created: Thu, 15 Dec 2016, 21:54:18 JST by Praise Nutakor on behalf of UNU INRA