Disappearing cities on US coasts
Ohenhen, Leonard O., Shirzaei, Manoochehr, Ojha, Chandrakanta, Sherpa, Sonam F. and Nicholls, Robert J, (2024). Disappearing cities on US coasts. Nature, 627 108-115
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Sub-type Journal article Author Ohenhen, Leonard O.
Shirzaei, Manoochehr
Ojha, Chandrakanta
Sherpa, Sonam F.
Nicholls, Robert JTitle Disappearing cities on US coasts Appearing in Nature Volume 627 Publication Date 2024-03-06 Place of Publication Berlin Publisher Springer Nature Start page 108 End page 115 Language eng Abstract The sea level along the US coastlines is projected to rise by 0.25–0.3 m by 2050, increasing the probability of more destructive flooding and inundation in major cities1,2,3. However, these impacts may be exacerbated by coastal subsidence—the sinking of coastal land areas4—a factor that is often underrepresented in coastal-management policies and long-term urban planning2,5. In this study, we combine high-resolution vertical land motion (that is, raising or lowering of land) and elevation datasets with projections of sea-level rise to quantify the potential inundated areas in 32 major US coastal cities. Here we show that, even when considering the current coastal-defence structures, further land area of between 1,006 and 1,389 km2 is threatened by relative sea-level rise by 2050, posing a threat to a population of 55,000–273,000 people and 31,000–171,000 properties. Our analysis shows that not accounting for spatially variable land subsidence within the cities may lead to inaccurate projections of expected ex Copyright Holder author(s) Copyright Year 2024 Copyright type Creative commons DOI 10.1038/s41586-024-07038-3 -
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