Contemporary climate analogs project strong regional differences in the future water and electricity demand across US cities

Obringer, Renee, Knee, Jessica, Nateghi, Roshanak, Madani, Kaveh and Kumar, Rohini, (2023). Contemporary climate analogs project strong regional differences in the future water and electricity demand across US cities. One Earth, 6(11), 1542-1553

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  • Sub-type Journal article
    Author Obringer, Renee
    Knee, Jessica
    Nateghi, Roshanak
    Madani, Kaveh
    Kumar, Rohini
    Title Contemporary climate analogs project strong regional differences in the future water and electricity demand across US cities
    Appearing in One Earth
    Volume 6
    Issue No. 11
    Publication Date 2023-11-17
    Place of Publication Amesterdam
    Publisher Elsevier
    Start page 1542
    End page 1553
    Language eng
    Abstract Water and electricity systems are highly interconnected in terms of supply (e.g., electricity is used in the treatment and distribution of water) and demand (e.g., appliances that use water within homes also use electricity). Understanding the impact that climate change may have on coupled water and electricity demand is a crucial task for ensuring resilient planning and sustainable management of water and energy infrastructure. Here, we leverage an efficient methodology that integrates contemporary climate analogs and machine learning to project the city-level coupled water and electricity demand of 46 major US cities into the future. The results show strong regional differences, with some cities possibly experiencing increases in summer water and electricity demand of up to 15% and 20%, respectively, because of climate change. Obtaining projections of future water and electricity demand under climate change is critical for building resilient infrastructure in the face of climate change.
    Keyword water-energy nexus
    climate analogs
    urban infrastructure
    climate change impacts
    statistical learning theory
    Copyright Holder Elsevier Inc.
    Copyright Year 2023
    Copyright type All rights reserved
    ISSN 1741-7015
    DOI 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.10.004
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    Created: Wed, 18 Sep 2024, 00:18:45 JST by Haideh Beigi on behalf of UNU INWEH