Decision-making heuristics for managing climate-related risks: introducing equity to the FREE framework

Audia, Camilla, Visman, Emma, Fox, Gino, Mwangi, Emmah, Kilavi, Mary, Arango, Mark, Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja and Kniveton, Dominic, "Decision-making heuristics for managing climate-related risks: introducing equity to the FREE framework" in Climate Risk in Africa ed. Conway, Declan and Vincent, Katherine (Cham: Palgrave Macmillan, 2021), 57-76.

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  • Author Audia, Camilla
    Visman, Emma
    Fox, Gino
    Mwangi, Emmah
    Kilavi, Mary
    Arango, Mark
    Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja
    Kniveton, Dominic
    Book Editor Conway, Declan
    Vincent, Katherine
    Chapter Title Decision-making heuristics for managing climate-related risks: introducing equity to the FREE framework
    Book Title Climate Risk in Africa
    Publication Date 2021
    Place of Publication Cham
    Publisher Palgrave Macmillan
    Start page 57
    End page 76
    Language eng
    Abstract Managing climate-related risks is clouded in differing levels of uncertainty that are magnified when trying to understand their potential impacts on socio-ecological systems. The ‘cascade of uncertainty’ is particularly apparent in Africa where socio-ecological data are sparse, and the development and validation of impact models are at varying stages. In this context, using heuristics may serve as an effective way for policy mak-ers to incorporate climate change knowledge into decision-making. Previous scholarship has identified the principles of Flexibility, Robustness and Economic low/no regrets in decision-making under uncertainty. In this chapter, we first make the case for adding Equity to these heuristics, where equity involves ensuring that reducing the climate change risk for one cohort of society does not result in its increase for another. Second, we describe how these principles have been applied under two DFID/NERC funded projects: ForPAc and AMMA-2050 through the use of Participatory Impact Pathways Analysis tools.
    UNBIS Thesaurus CLIMATE CHANGE
    UNCERTAINTY
    EQUITY
    DECISION-MAKING
    Keyword Heuristics
    Copyright Holder The Authors
    Copyright Year 2021
    Copyright type Creative commons
    DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-61160-6_4
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