Governing Uncertainty

Passarelli, David and Day, Adam (2021). Governing Uncertainty. United Nations University.

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  • Sub-type Policy brief
    Author Passarelli, David
    Day, Adam
    Title Governing Uncertainty
    Publication Date 2021-03-31
    Place of Publication New York
    Publisher United Nations University
    Pages 68
    Language eng
    Abstract This report surveys major trends that will shape the future of global governance over the next 30 years. It maps trends in society, politics, technology, security and the environment, and considers how the interplay across these sectors impact traditional and new development actors in their efforts to deliver a transformative development agenda centered on social inclusion, shared prosperity, safety and environmental sustainability. The report finds that many core societal risks – inequality, debt, mistrust, environmental and technological change, and the important role of non-State actors – persist today and have grown in importance following the outbreak of COVID-19. Using the methods of foresight research, the report extrapolates possible future scenarios based on three cross-cutting trends (technological change, environmental change, demographic change and human mobility) and three megatrends (loss of trust in institutions, judicialization of governance, stakeholder activism). An integrated and systematic analysis of these trends results in four projections that will impact global governance, as well as security and development outcomes over the next 30 years.
    UNBIS Thesaurus GOVERNANCE
    DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS
    JUDICIAL POWER
    MILITARY TECHNOLOGY
    ENVIRONMENT
    LABOUR MOBILITY
    CONFLICT MANAGEMENT
    DEBT MANAGEMENT
    PEACE
    Keyword Human mobility
    Inequality
    Litigation
    Technology
    Development
    Foresight
    Multilateralism
    Stakeholder activism
    Copyright Holder United Nations University
    Copyright Year 2021
    Copyright type All rights reserved
    ISBN 9789280865363
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    Created: Thu, 01 Apr 2021, 03:50:13 JST by Dursi, Anthony on behalf of UNU Centre