Assessing Multi-Hazard Vulnerability and Dynamic Coastal Flood Risk in the Mississippi Delta: The Global Delta Risk Index as a Social-Ecological Systems Approach

Anderson, Carl C., Renaud, Fabrice G., Hagenlocher, Michael and Day, John W., (2021). Assessing Multi-Hazard Vulnerability and Dynamic Coastal Flood Risk in the Mississippi Delta: The Global Delta Risk Index as a Social-Ecological Systems Approach. Water, 13(4), 1-23

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  • Sub-type Journal article
    Author Anderson, Carl C.
    Renaud, Fabrice G.
    Hagenlocher, Michael
    Day, John W.
    Title Assessing Multi-Hazard Vulnerability and Dynamic Coastal Flood Risk in the Mississippi Delta: The Global Delta Risk Index as a Social-Ecological Systems Approach
    Appearing in Water
    Volume 13
    Issue No. 4
    Publication Date 2021-02-25
    Place of Publication Basel
    Publisher MDPI
    Start page 1
    End page 23
    Language eng
    Abstract The tight coupling of the social-ecological system (SES) of the Mississippi Delta calls for balanced natural hazard vulnerability and risk assessments. Most existing assessments have approached these components in isolation. To address this, we apply the Global Delta Risk Index (GDRI) in the Mississippi Delta at high-resolution census tract level. We assess SES spatial patterns of drought, hurricane-force wind, and coastal flood vulnerability and integrate hazard and exposure data for the assessment of coastal flood risk. Moreover, we compare current coastal flood risk to future risk in 2025 based on the modelled effects of flood depth, exposure, and changes in ecosystem area in the context of ongoing efforts under the 2017 Louisiana Coastal Master Plan. Results show that the Master Plan will lead to decreases in risk scores by 2025, but the tracts that are currently the most vulnerable benefit less from risk reduction efforts. Along with our index output, we discuss the need for further advancements in SES methodology and the potential for catastrophic hazard events beyond the model parameters, such as extreme rainfall events and very strong hurricanes. Assessing SES risk components can lead to more targeted policy recommendations, demonstrated by the need for Master Plan projects to consider their unequal spatial effects on vulnerability and risk reduction.
    UNBIS Thesaurus DROUGHT
    Keyword Vulnerability
    Disaster
    Census tract
    GDRI
    Environmental hazard
    Storm surge
    Hurricane
    Future risk
    Copyright Holder The Authors
    Copyright Year 2021
    Copyright type Creative commons
    DOI 10.3390/w13040577
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    Created: Thu, 25 Feb 2021, 23:07:23 JST by Austin Gonzales on behalf of UNU EHS