Spatially explicit residential and working population assumptions for projecting and assessing natural capital and ecosystem services in Japan

Matsui, Takanori, Haga, Chihiro, Saito, Osamu and Hashimoto, Shizuka, (2018). Spatially explicit residential and working population assumptions for projecting and assessing natural capital and ecosystem services in Japan. Sustainability Science, 1-15

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  • Sub-type Journal article
    Author Matsui, Takanori
    Haga, Chihiro
    Saito, Osamu
    Hashimoto, Shizuka
    Title Spatially explicit residential and working population assumptions for projecting and assessing natural capital and ecosystem services in Japan
    Appearing in Sustainability Science
    Publication Date 2018-07-03
    Place of Publication Online
    Publisher Springer Japan
    Start page 1
    End page 15
    Language eng
    Abstract In scenario studies of biodiversity and ecosystem services, the population distribution is one of the key driving forces. In this study, we developed a coupling method for narrative scenarios and spatially explicit residential and working population designs for all of Japan as a common dataset for ecosystem scenario analysis implemented by 5-year project entitled “Predicting and Assessing Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services (PANCES)”. Four narrative scenarios were proposed by the PANCES project using two axes as major uncertainties: the population distribution and the capital preference. The residential population and the working population in primary industries were calculated using a gravity-based allocation algorithm in a manner consistent with the storylines of the PANCES scenarios. Using the population distribution assumption by scenario, the population was overlaid with the natural capital and the supply potential of ecosystem services. The results supported to understand the gaps between natural capital and maintainability, and the potential of ecosystem services and realizability. The spatially explicit population distribution data products are expected to help design the nature conservation strategy and governance option in terms of both social system and ecological system.
    UNBIS Thesaurus POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
    Keyword Ecosystem services
    Natural capital
    Scenario analysis
    Spatially explicit
    Copyright Holder Springer Japan KK
    Copyright Year 2018
    Copyright type All rights reserved
    DOI 10.1007/s11625-018-0605-y
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    Created: Fri, 06 Jul 2018, 12:14:10 JST by PEGUES, Susan Scott on behalf of UNU IAS