Spatial Implications of Climate Change on Land Allocation and Agricultural Production in ECOWAS
Lokonon, Boris K., Egbendewe, Aklesso Y.G, Naga, Coulibaly and Atewamba, Calvin (2016). Spatial Implications of Climate Change on Land Allocation and Agricultural Production in ECOWAS. UNU-INRA Working Paper. United Nations University Institute for Natural Resources in Africa.
Sub-type Working paper Author Lokonon, Boris K.
Egbendewe, Aklesso Y.G
Editor Yong Nje, Dorothé
Title Spatial Implications of Climate Change on Land Allocation and Agricultural Production in ECOWAS Series Title UNU-INRA Working Paper Volume/Issue No. 17 Publication Date 2016-12-15 Place of Publication Accra Publisher United Nations University Institute for Natural Resources in Africa Pages XI, 94 Language eng Abstract Climate change is one of the most serious threats to food security in the future. Indeed, agriculture in developing countries is predicted to be seriously impacted by climate change, and the magnitude and the direction of the impacts vary across countries. This paper takes advantage of agro-climatic zones to investigate the impacts of climate change on land allocation and crop production in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). A regional mathematical programming model is used to simulate the implications of climate change on crop acreage and crop production following two Representative Concentration Pathways and four prevailing socio-economic conditions. The findings suggest that acreage will be lower, higher, or remain the same depending on the crops and the future conditions (combinations of climate and socio-economic scenarios). In terms of crop production, results showed that paddy rice, maize, sorghum, millet, oilseeds, cocoa, coffee, and sesame production experience a decline under both moderate and harsh climate change in most cases. The magnitude and the direction of the impacts vary across geographical units. The findings of this study advocate for international action in terms of reducing the emission of greenhouse gases (GHG) in developing countries. Moreover, it is urgent to develop adequate adaptation strategies to offset the negative impacts of climate change. UNBIS Thesaurus AGRICULTURAL TRADE
Keyword Climate change
Copyright Holder United Nations University Institute for Natural Resources in Africa Copyright Year 2016 Copyright type Fair use permitted ISBN 9789988633158
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